Tale of Two Cities

August 13, 2009Contrarian 2 Comments »
Charlotte, NC ♦ Photo © Team Alliance Global

Charlotte, NC ♦ Photo © Team Alliance Global

During a recent conversation over coffee an acquaintance posed the question, “What does Spokane have going for it?”

My immediate and glib answer was, “Not much.”

No, I’m not a reluctantly relocated Seattleite, nor an exemplar of Spokane’s alleged inferiority complex. Spokane does have a number of significant assets, which Greater Spokane, Inc. and the Visitors Bureau regularly tout: affordable housing, minimal traffic congestion, decent schools, first-class medical services, outstanding outdoor recreational opportunities, and so on. The thrust of the question, though, was, “What does Spokane have to offer that other mid-sized Western cities don’t?”

The fact is that such cities as Anchorage, Albuquerque, Boise, Salt Lake City, Colorado Springs, Tucson, Reno, and other Western cities in Spokane’s size class also offer all of those same attractions. Like Spokane, they also offer a range of entertainment and cultural venues and events typical of cities of their size.

It should be noted, first, that being in that population class is itself an asset in the first decade of the 21st century, as more refugees flee the congestion, crime, high cost of living, and general stresses of the megacities. The Spokane area will continue to attract a share of those folks no matter what we do, though a disproportionate fraction will probably end up on the Idaho side of the state line. Spokane has seen growth over the last two decades, but all of the above cities have seen more.

Spokane does have one asset most of its peers lack — an urban texture found, in the West, only in San Francisco, Seattle, Portland, Denver, and to a lesser degree, Salt Lake City. Spokane attained city-size early (104,000 by 1910) and thus has a rich legacy of urban architectural styles ranging from Chicago School to Greek Revival, Romanesque, Norman, and Gothic to Art Deco, and distinctive neighborhoods of Victorian, Queen Anne, Tudor, Prairie and Craftsman homes. The large downtown core developed during the city’s development heyday (1890-1930), with its numerous historic and
otherwise noteworthy buildings, remains mostly intact, attractive and healthy, despite the downsizing which occurred between 1950-80, when many older blocks were demolished and replaced with surface parking lots.

Offsetting this advantage, however, is one conspicuous disadvantage — the lack of a major research university, something each of the peer cities mentioned above can offer. Although WSU continues to expand offerings at its Riverpoint campus and Greater Spokane CEO Rich Hadley has recently declared that Spokane will have “a full 4-year medical school within 5 years,” those improvements, if they happen, will only bring Spokane up to par with its rivals; they will not give it an edge.

How might it gain that edge?

Spokane should perhaps consider the case of Charlotte, NC.

Like Spokane, Charlotte began life as a market town (cotton, in Charlotte’s case) and during the 19th century became a railroad hub. But by 1910, when Spokane’s population had already grown to 104,000, Charlotte’s had reached only 34,000. Charlotte grew more rapidly during the first half of the 20th century, but in 1950 was still smaller than Spokane (134,000 to Spokane’s 161,000).

Charlotte today has a population of 717,000 (2.3 million in the CSA), its median household income exceeds Spokane’s ($51,050 to Spokane’s $37,899), it has less poverty (12.7% to Spokane’s 18%), and it is the 2nd largest banking center in the US, after New York City. Despite its prosperity and rapid growth, it’s cost of living index is slightly lower than Spokane’s (90 to Spokane’s 91), and its housing is even more affordable. It consistently ranks among the top 10 on everyone’s “quality of life” indexes.

How did that happen?

Well, it occurred because the state of North Carolina had long had very liberal banking laws, allowing banks to operate statewide (when many states restricted banks to one county), to acquire banks and other assets outside the state, and to offer a range of financial services prohibited by banking laws in most other states. As a result N. Carolina banks acquired expertise in managing multiple branches in multiple markets, and in handling financial products off-limits to banks elsewhere. When federal laws on interstate banking were relaxed in the 1970s and other states began to relax their own laws, Charlotte’s two large banks were ready (both were managed by astute and aggressive CEOs). They began acquiring banks in other states left and right, including, eventually, the Bank of America, largest bank in the US. The rest, as they say, is history. Over 30,000 people are today employed in Charlotte’s two largest banks alone.

http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qa3647/is_199601/ai_n8737985/

http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/06176/701039-28.stm

What is the lesson here? Well, that thoughtless regulation inhibits economic activity, and repealing those regulations unleashes it. Most states have now followed N. Carolina’s example and relaxed their own banking laws, so Spokane would not be able to gain its edge in that field. But there are innumerable other fields in which government regulation stifles innovation and adds enormously to the cost of doing business in most states, particularly local land use and environmental regulations. Spokane could gain an edge similar to Charlotte’s in many other economic areas by immediately:

♦ Repealing all land use laws and development restrictions not directly related to preventing nuisances or protecting public health and safety, and

♦ Repealing all environmental laws not directly related to protecting human health or preserving the utility of “natural commons.”

Some of these are state laws, of course, especially the ill-conceived and burdensome Growth Management Act, which local officials could not change, at least not immediately. But there are numerous local legal impediments to economic development, notably the Comprehensive Plan, which could be repealed by a vote of the City Council.

The Comprensive Plan declares, “The overall purpose of the comprehensive plan is to provide Spokane residents with a high quality of life.” It then proceeds to ignore the most important components of a high quality of life, the two upon which all other factors depend: good incomes from interesting and challenging work, and a wide range of lifestyle options from which each person can freely choose. Instead, it erects impediments to economic opportunity and narrows options in an attempt to improve the quality of life of politicians, planners, and their more vocal political patrons.

Free Spokane would be the city in which if someone wants to build something or produce something, he would almost certainly be able to do it, and do it quickly, without the delays and costs (for attorneys, consultants, neighborhood schmoozing, hearings, lawsuits, and appeals) which he would likely be compelled to endure elsewhere.

It’s time for Spokane’s elected officials to get serious about economic development and come to grips with the factors which inhibit it.

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2 Responses to this entry

  • John Waite, city council candidate Says:

    Hey Contrarian,

    I liked, and agreed with some of what you said. I have to disagree with your assessment of banking in NC. The banks of North Carolina (including BofA) almost brought our country to it’s knees. And we in America will be suffering the cost of bailing out the financial industry for decades. This financial industry that profits from de-regulation, and made Billions in paper profits while actually NOT MAKING any REAL profits. This bailout is called “privatised profit/socialized losses”. Big business really like this when government bails them out on their bad decision. This is called “moral hazard”.

    Anyway, good discussion. I guess the question to me is how would Spokane and the nation prosper if it had real, transparent finincial institutions? Maybe less economic growth, but real economic growth.

    John Waite, Spokane City Council Candidate, 3rd district
    http://www.votejohnwaite.com

  • Contrarian Says:

    Hey John,

    A couple of points. First, those are two different sets of regulations. The local & state regulations which NC eschewed, thereby allowing in-state banks to grow, were not the regs dealing with lending standards and capitalization ratios, which are the province of the Fed, the FDIC, and the Comptroller of the Currency, i.e., federal agencies. Secondly, the subprime loans and the mortgage-backed securities based on them were created at the behest of HUD (to promote “affordable housing”) and initially purchased and re-sold by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two federal secondary mortgage banks, which remained the largest holders of those securities, and the guarantors of $billions more.

    As home prices began to rise in the early 90s (because of the increase in demand induced by the federal government’s “affordable housing” policies) mortgage lenders relaxed lending standards ever further, because they would not be carrying those risky loans on their own books — they would peddle them on the secondary market. The feds cheered all this on (Fannie Mae’s CEO once described Countrywide Mortgage, one of the biggest purveyors of these junk mortgages, as “a paragon of affordable housing lending”).

    Finally, bank deregulation had nothing to do with the subprime crisis. There *never were* any regulations on those mortgage products, which didn’t even exist until the early 90s, nor on the so-called “shadow banking system” (hedge funds, et al).

    “Increasing home ownership has been the goal of several presidents including Roosevelt, Reagan, Clinton and G.W.Bush. In 1982, Congress passed the Alternative Mortgage Transactions Parity Act (AMTPA), which allowed non-federally chartered housing creditors to write adjustable-rate mortgages. Among the new mortgage loan types created and gaining in popularity in the early 1980s were adjustable-rate, option adjustable-rate, balloon-payment and interest-only mortgages. These new loan types are credited with replacing the long standing practice of banks making conventional fixed-rate, amortizing mortgages. Among the criticisms of banking industry deregulation that contributed to the savings and loan crisis was that Congress failed to enact regulations that would have prevented exploitations by these loan types. Subsequent widespread abuses of predatory lending occurred with the use of adjustable-rate mortgages.[105][106][107] Approximately 80% of subprime mortgages are adjustable-rate mortgages.[108]
    In 1995, the GSEs like Fannie Mae began receiving government tax incentives for purchasing mortgage backed securities which included loans to low income borrowers. Thus began the involvement of the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with the subprime market.[109] In 1996, HUD set a goal for Fanny Mae and Freddie Mac that at least 42% of the mortgages they purchase be issued to borrowers whose household income was below the median in their area. This target was increased to 50% in 2000 and 52% in 2005.[110] From 2002 to 2006, as the U.S. subprime market grew 292% over previous years, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac combined purchases of subprime securities rose from $38 billion to around $175 billion per year before dropping to $90 billion per year, which included $350 billion of Alt-A securities. Fannie Mae had stopped buying Alt-A products in the early 1990s because of the high risk of default. By 2008, the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac owned, either directly or through mortgage pools they sponsored, $5.1 trillion in residential mortgages, about half the total U.S. mortgage market.[111] The GSE have always been highly leveraged, their net worth as of 30 June 2008 being a mere US$114 billion.[112] When concerns arose in September 2008 regarding the ability of the GSE to make good on their guarantees, the Federal government was forced to place the companies into a conservatorship, effectively nationalizing them at the taxpayers’ expense.[113][114]”

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subprime_mortgage_crisis

    Also, BOA’s problems arose, not because of their own irresponsible lending practices, but because of their “shotgun wedding” late last year to Merrill Lynch, an acquisition engineered by the Feds.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/15/business/15bank.html